I’m just trying to guess how much time has Ukraine before being absorbed by authoritarian Russia.

OK, a bit melodramatic, but if Russia keeps advancing, even if it’s meters per day, even if it takes them 10 years to reach Kyiv, they are still advancing and Putin can throw as many bodies as he wants, a luxury Ukraine does not have. It pays being a larger country, both in terms of demographics and surface.

Now that it’s clear that neither trump nor vance like Zelenskyy and want his head to divide the country and stir things up to find somebody more amenable to sell out the country to both the US and Russia, it’s up to Canada, UK, the EU and hopefully Australia, South Korea and Turkey to help Ukraine navigate the next 4 years. What I want to know is what military capabilities these countries can spare to help Ukraine.

I’d also like some kind of probabilities scale: for example, it is plain stupid to suggest Greece and Turkey have so many tanks they could lend some to Ukraine. This ignores political realities between both countries, as they hate each other and were accepted simultaneously into NATO so they wouldn’t veto or kill each other.

Also, do you know if any reputable source has a timetable the EU would need to substitute America’s capabilities? Not even to match America’s 2.8K American nuclear warheads and nuclear carrying missiles, their 6 fleets, 11 carriers…, but to simply defend the EU’s territory win a conflict with Russia with no American involvement and no territorial loss and eventually defend Ukraine and help them reclaim their lost territories.

Just 2 days ago I though talking about NATO being dead was being melodramatic but now I really believe in 6 months this organization won’t exist anymore. Europe has to go back to cold war levels of military spending.

  • Varyk@sh.itjust.works
    4·
    11 hours ago

    regardless of any amount of resources given to Ukraine, The length of time Russia has been militarily unable to successfully campaign against one of the weakest European countries was astonishing and extremely enlightening as to the state of their military readiness.

    before Russia exposed itself, this sort of matchup very much seemed like if the US decided to invade Colombia, made very little progress for 3 years, and then lost territory to Colombia(imagining they bordered Colombia).

    Russia losing to Ukraine would have seemed absurd until all of the weaknesses and false pretenses of Russian military power were exposed.

    now it turns out Europe had a paper tiger for 40 years that world leaders were wrongly extolling the military virtues and dangers of.

    it’s not to say that Russia is harmless, because they’re willing to sacrifice millions of soldiers, but they simply do not pose the legacy world-power conquering danger that everybody assumed they did for over a generation.

    and to belabor the point, they are failing against a single, relatively and especially at the time, unprepared and militarily weak country the Russia had literally signed a treaty not to invade.